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	<title>The Brothers Austrian &#187; global currency</title>
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	<link>http://www.brothersaustrian.com</link>
	<description>An economics blog in the Austrian tradition, written by two brothers, one teacher and one bond trader</description>
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		<title>China&#8217;s Global Currency</title>
		<link>http://www.brothersaustrian.com/chinas-global-currency/</link>
		<comments>http://www.brothersaustrian.com/chinas-global-currency/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2009 13:03:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Teacherman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bretton woods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[china]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global currency]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.brothersaustrian.com/?p=127</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I posted last week about the growing unease of the Chinese Central Bank toward its US investments.  Now China (along with Russia) has manifested its unease with a call for a new global currency, led by the International Monetary Fund.  As scary as this notion is, I wanted to highlight the growing unease with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I <a href="http://www.brothersaustrian.com/obama-reassures-china-in-words-not-actions/">posted last week</a> about the growing unease of the Chinese Central Bank toward its US investments.  Now China (along with Russia) has manifested its unease with a <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7851925a-17a2-11de-8c9d-0000779fd2ac.html">call for a new global currency</a>, led by the International Monetary Fund.  As scary as this notion is, I wanted to highlight the growing unease with the US dollar.  While it appears unlikely that China is willing to take an investment hit in order the skewer the US, it is clearly setting up for a dramatic shift away from supporting the issuance of dollar debt.</p>
<div class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 370px"><img src="http://media.economist.com/images/20090321/1209LD1.jpg" alt="How China Sees the World (Economist.com)" width="360" height="285" /><p class="wp-caption-text">How China Sees the World (Economist.com)</p></div>
<p>China understands that the only way for the US to service its debt is through monetization.  It&#8217;s unlikely that they ever imagined a US recession would lead to this type of monetary expansion:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/AMBNS_Max_630_378.png" alt="" width="504" height="302" /></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><span>As the US dollar currency in circulation <a href="http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CURRCIR?cid=342">approaches $1 trillion</a>, China is finally trying to find a new safe haven for cash. </span></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><span>Is it likely that we will see another Bretton Woods soon?  I don&#8217;t think as it stands now.  But maybe, just maybe, China is setting the framework for a future day when it dumps its treasuries and punishes the US.  This certainly would be painful for Beijing, but what is this investment actually worth anyway?  It may be the perfect catalyst for a Shanghai version of Bretton Woods in 2010.  Could a new currency order with China leading the way be worth its investment loss?<br />
</span></p>
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